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Xu Wenying from China Rubber Industry Association analyzes the operation of China's rubber industry

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  • Time of issue:2019-07-29 17:46
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(Summary description)OnthemorningofOctober14,thesecondChina(sponsoredbyChinaPetroleumandChemicalIndustryFederation,ChinaRubberIndustryAssociation,ChinaMinmetalsChemicalsImportandExportChamberofCommerce,RubberValleyGroupCo.,Ltd.,QingdaoRubberValleyInternationalExhibitionCo.,Ltd.TheQingdaoRubberIndustryExpoandthe2015WorldRubberForumandInformationConferenceofficiallykickedoff. Atthemeeting,XuWenying,vicepresidentandsecretarygeneralofChinaRubberIndustryAssociation,elaboratedontheoveralloperationofChina'srubberindustryin2015andthe13thFive-YearPlan. Thefollowingisaspeechrecord: Distinguishedguests,Iamsohonoredtobehereagain.BeforeImakeaformalreport,Iwouldliketointeractfirst,becausethisyeartheindustryisparticularlybad.Ithinkthatanycompanyheretodayisbetterthanlastyear?Giveahandtoindicateit?Ifyouraiseyourhand,Icanguesswhatyouaredoing.Nooneraisesyourhand.Icantalkaboutitcasually. Thesecondquestion,whichrepresentativeoftheaudiencehasseenthe12thFive-YearPlancompiledbyourRubberIndustryAssociation?No,thetwotopicsIamtalkingabouttodaydon'tknowiftheycanmeetyourrequirements.Everyonesaidbadly,thisyearistoobad,verybad,worsethan2008,infact,2008isnotbad,inthecaseofourrubberindustryinthepasttenyears,2009isthebestbenefitoftheentirerubberindustry.Whatwasthebadsituationthisyearinthatyear?ThedataisfromJanuarytoJuly,becausethePPTtimeisrelativelyearly,butIhavenotmadeanychanges,andIhavenotchangedthelatestdatafromJanuarytoAugust,becausethedatafromJanuarytoAugustisbetterthanthatfromJanuarytoJuly.Thedataisstillbad,soIwouldliketosharethemainsituationofthisyear'sindustrywiththedatafromJanuarytoJuly. Thistableismainlythefourmaineconomicdataoftheindustry,oneisthetotalindustrialoutputvalue,oneisthesalesincome,oneistheexportdeliveryvalue,andtheotheristheindustry-wideprofit,butthesedataaretheyear-on-yeardata,thatistosayThebluedataisthegrowthratefromJanuarytoJuly2014andJanuarytoJuly2013.Thereddataistheyear-on-yeardataforJanuary-July2015andJanuary-July2014.Withoutdetailedintroduction,everyoneknowsthatallformsareyear-on-yeardata. Throughthistable,wecanclearlyseethattheredcoordinateispositivegrowth,andtheredcoordinateisnegativegrowth.Inthecaseofthebleak2014,westillhavetwodata,theindustrialoutputvalueandtheprofitareabovethepositivecoordinate.Itistomaintainpositivegrowth.Thisyearisreallybad.Allfourofthedataarenegativelygrowing.Negativegrowth.Becauseofthestatisticsoftheassociation’smorethan1,300members,weonlycount398largeandmedium-sizedenterprises.Fromtheperspectiveoftheindustry,wecanseethattheindustrialoutputvalueofthewholeindustryhasdroppedby10.49%comparedwithlastyear.Whatotherindustriesareworsethanthelevelofthewholeindustry?Amongthemareourtires,tireswithanegativegrowthof13%,tubewithanegativegrowthof11%,motorcycletires,bicycletiresincreasedby11.13%,justnowIcansaywhichindustryyouarein,slightlybetteristheproductindustry,rubbershoesindustry,rubberTheindustrialoutputvalueofthemoldindustryhasslightlyincreasedcomparedwithlastyear.Thisisthesituationofindustrialoutputvalue.Theprofitofallwalksoflife,ourstatisticsthisyear,theprofitrateof398industriesfellby22%lastyear,ofwhichtiresfellby35%,carbonblackfell.53.75%,theprofitisslightlybetterthanlastyearistheindustry,latexindustryandwasterubbercomprehensiveutilizationoftheindustry,ifthisyearfeelsalittlebetter,thenthepossibilityofproducingrubberproductshasgreatlyincreased. Thischartisnotayear-on-yearsituation.Itisasituationoftheprofitrateoftheentiresub-industry.Everyonesaidthatitisquitegood.Thereisa5.13%profitinthewholeindustry,butthisistheprofitfromJanuarytoJuly.ThedatafromJanuarytoAugustismorethanthis.Thedecline,inadditiontotheindustry,andtheprofitmarginoftheproductindustryandrubbermoldindustryisslightlyhigher,buttheprofitrateoftireshasdroppedto3percent,carbonblackhasbeenlessthan1%,nowEveryoneneeds7%inbankloans,sothewholeindustryisreallyverydifficultthisyear.Let'stalkaboutthetireindustry,becausethetireindustryfeelsparticularlydifficultthisyear,why?Amongthe398companieswesurveyed,theinventoryis28.5billion,ofwhichtheinventoryoftiresis18billion,accountingfor66%oftheentireindustry'sinventory,sothegoodandbadofthetireindustryisdirectlyrelatedtothesituationoftheChineserubberindustry.Wecanseethatitsprofithasfallenby36%comparedwithlastyear.Iwillnotelaborateontheindustryinthemanagementindustry.Thesituationintheseindustriesisgoodandbad.Youcanseesomeprofits,suchastheprofitgrowthoflatexlastyear.25%,butthisyearhasdroppedby6%.Lastyear'sgoodyearisworse.Lastyear'sbadyearisevenworse.Everyoneisanalyzingthereasons.AlleconomistsarealsoanalyzingandwillsoonmeetinBeijing.Itisalsoanalyzingthereasons.ExpertssaythatChina’sGDPgrowthrateisfallingsharply.ThereasonwhyoureconomyisnotgoodismainlyfromGDP.Second,becauseourrubberindustryandtheautomobileindustryarecloselyrelated,thentheautomobileindustryisincreasing.Thespeedisalsoslowingdown.ItisnotenoughinJanuary-August.ItisbetterinJanuary-September.ItisestimatedthatJanuary-Octoberwillbebetter.Iamhappy.ThisshowsthatourrubberindustrymayalsousherinJanuary-October.Aturnaround. Thereisalsoafrustrationinexports,from30%to192%ofthe

Xu Wenying from China Rubber Industry Association analyzes the operation of China's rubber industry

(Summary description)OnthemorningofOctober14,thesecondChina(sponsoredbyChinaPetroleumandChemicalIndustryFederation,ChinaRubberIndustryAssociation,ChinaMinmetalsChemicalsImportandExportChamberofCommerce,RubberValleyGroupCo.,Ltd.,QingdaoRubberValleyInternationalExhibitionCo.,Ltd.TheQingdaoRubberIndustryExpoandthe2015WorldRubberForumandInformationConferenceofficiallykickedoff. Atthemeeting,XuWenying,vicepresidentandsecretarygeneralofChinaRubberIndustryAssociation,elaboratedontheoveralloperationofChina'srubberindustryin2015andthe13thFive-YearPlan. Thefollowingisaspeechrecord: Distinguishedguests,Iamsohonoredtobehereagain.BeforeImakeaformalreport,Iwouldliketointeractfirst,becausethisyeartheindustryisparticularlybad.Ithinkthatanycompanyheretodayisbetterthanlastyear?Giveahandtoindicateit?Ifyouraiseyourhand,Icanguesswhatyouaredoing.Nooneraisesyourhand.Icantalkaboutitcasually. Thesecondquestion,whichrepresentativeoftheaudiencehasseenthe12thFive-YearPlancompiledbyourRubberIndustryAssociation?No,thetwotopicsIamtalkingabouttodaydon'tknowiftheycanmeetyourrequirements.Everyonesaidbadly,thisyearistoobad,verybad,worsethan2008,infact,2008isnotbad,inthecaseofourrubberindustryinthepasttenyears,2009isthebestbenefitoftheentirerubberindustry.Whatwasthebadsituationthisyearinthatyear?ThedataisfromJanuarytoJuly,becausethePPTtimeisrelativelyearly,butIhavenotmadeanychanges,andIhavenotchangedthelatestdatafromJanuarytoAugust,becausethedatafromJanuarytoAugustisbetterthanthatfromJanuarytoJuly.Thedataisstillbad,soIwouldliketosharethemainsituationofthisyear'sindustrywiththedatafromJanuarytoJuly. Thistableismainlythefourmaineconomicdataoftheindustry,oneisthetotalindustrialoutputvalue,oneisthesalesincome,oneistheexportdeliveryvalue,andtheotheristheindustry-wideprofit,butthesedataaretheyear-on-yeardata,thatistosayThebluedataisthegrowthratefromJanuarytoJuly2014andJanuarytoJuly2013.Thereddataistheyear-on-yeardataforJanuary-July2015andJanuary-July2014.Withoutdetailedintroduction,everyoneknowsthatallformsareyear-on-yeardata. Throughthistable,wecanclearlyseethattheredcoordinateispositivegrowth,andtheredcoordinateisnegativegrowth.Inthecaseofthebleak2014,westillhavetwodata,theindustrialoutputvalueandtheprofitareabovethepositivecoordinate.Itistomaintainpositivegrowth.Thisyearisreallybad.Allfourofthedataarenegativelygrowing.Negativegrowth.Becauseofthestatisticsoftheassociation’smorethan1,300members,weonlycount398largeandmedium-sizedenterprises.Fromtheperspectiveoftheindustry,wecanseethattheindustrialoutputvalueofthewholeindustryhasdroppedby10.49%comparedwithlastyear.Whatotherindustriesareworsethanthelevelofthewholeindustry?Amongthemareourtires,tireswithanegativegrowthof13%,tubewithanegativegrowthof11%,motorcycletires,bicycletiresincreasedby11.13%,justnowIcansaywhichindustryyouarein,slightlybetteristheproductindustry,rubbershoesindustry,rubberTheindustrialoutputvalueofthemoldindustryhasslightlyincreasedcomparedwithlastyear.Thisisthesituationofindustrialoutputvalue.Theprofitofallwalksoflife,ourstatisticsthisyear,theprofitrateof398industriesfellby22%lastyear,ofwhichtiresfellby35%,carbonblackfell.53.75%,theprofitisslightlybetterthanlastyearistheindustry,latexindustryandwasterubbercomprehensiveutilizationoftheindustry,ifthisyearfeelsalittlebetter,thenthepossibilityofproducingrubberproductshasgreatlyincreased. Thischartisnotayear-on-yearsituation.Itisasituationoftheprofitrateoftheentiresub-industry.Everyonesaidthatitisquitegood.Thereisa5.13%profitinthewholeindustry,butthisistheprofitfromJanuarytoJuly.ThedatafromJanuarytoAugustismorethanthis.Thedecline,inadditiontotheindustry,andtheprofitmarginoftheproductindustryandrubbermoldindustryisslightlyhigher,buttheprofitrateoftireshasdroppedto3percent,carbonblackhasbeenlessthan1%,nowEveryoneneeds7%inbankloans,sothewholeindustryisreallyverydifficultthisyear.Let'stalkaboutthetireindustry,becausethetireindustryfeelsparticularlydifficultthisyear,why?Amongthe398companieswesurveyed,theinventoryis28.5billion,ofwhichtheinventoryoftiresis18billion,accountingfor66%oftheentireindustry'sinventory,sothegoodandbadofthetireindustryisdirectlyrelatedtothesituationoftheChineserubberindustry.Wecanseethatitsprofithasfallenby36%comparedwithlastyear.Iwillnotelaborateontheindustryinthemanagementindustry.Thesituationintheseindustriesisgoodandbad.Youcanseesomeprofits,suchastheprofitgrowthoflatexlastyear.25%,butthisyearhasdroppedby6%.Lastyear'sgoodyearisworse.Lastyear'sbadyearisevenworse.Everyoneisanalyzingthereasons.AlleconomistsarealsoanalyzingandwillsoonmeetinBeijing.Itisalsoanalyzingthereasons.ExpertssaythatChina’sGDPgrowthrateisfallingsharply.ThereasonwhyoureconomyisnotgoodismainlyfromGDP.Second,becauseourrubberindustryandtheautomobileindustryarecloselyrelated,thentheautomobileindustryisincreasing.Thespeedisalsoslowingdown.ItisnotenoughinJanuary-August.ItisbetterinJanuary-September.ItisestimatedthatJanuary-Octoberwillbebetter.Iamhappy.ThisshowsthatourrubberindustrymayalsousherinJanuary-October.Aturnaround. Thereisalsoafrustrationinexports,from30%to192%ofthe

  • Categories:company news
  • Author:
  • Origin:
  • Time of issue:2019-07-29 17:46
  • Views:11
Information
On the morning of October 14, the second China (sponsored by China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation, China Rubber Industry Association, China Minmetals Chemicals Import and Export Chamber of Commerce, Rubber Valley Group Co., Ltd., Qingdao Rubber Valley International Exhibition Co., Ltd. The Qingdao Rubber Industry Expo and the 2015 World Rubber Forum and Information Conference officially kicked off.
 
At the meeting, Xu Wenying, vice president and secretary general of China Rubber Industry Association, elaborated on the overall operation of China's rubber industry in 2015 and the 13th Five-Year Plan.
 
The following is a speech record:
 
Distinguished guests, I am so honored to be here again. Before I make a formal report, I would like to interact first, because this year the industry is particularly bad. I think that any company here today is better than last year? Give a hand to indicate it? If you raise your hand, I can guess what you are doing. No one raises your hand. I can talk about it casually.
 
The second question, which representative of the audience has seen the 12th Five-Year Plan compiled by our Rubber Industry Association? No, the two topics I am talking about today don't know if they can meet your requirements. Everyone said badly, this year is too bad, very bad, worse than 2008, in fact, 2008 is not bad, in the case of our rubber industry in the past ten years, 2009 is the best benefit of the entire rubber industry. What was the bad situation this year in that year? The data is from January to July, because the PPT time is relatively early, but I have not made any changes, and I have not changed the latest data from January to August, because the data from January to August is better than that from January to July. The data is still bad, so I would like to share the main situation of this year's industry with the data from January to July.
 
This table is mainly the four main economic data of the industry, one is the total industrial output value, one is the sales income, one is the export delivery value, and the other is the industry-wide profit, but these data are the year-on-year data, that is to say The blue data is the growth rate from January to July 2014 and January to July 2013. The red data is the year-on-year data for January-July 2015 and January-July 2014. Without detailed introduction, everyone knows that all forms are year-on-year data.
 
Through this table, we can clearly see that the red coordinate is positive growth, and the red coordinate is negative growth. In the case of the bleak 2014, we still have two data, the industrial output value and the profit are above the positive coordinate. It is to maintain positive growth. This year is really bad. All four of the data are negatively growing. Negative growth. Because of the statistics of the association’s more than 1,300 members, we only count 398 large and medium-sized enterprises. From the perspective of the industry, we can see that the industrial output value of the whole industry has dropped by 10.49% compared with last year. What other industries are worse than the level of the whole industry? Among them are our tires, tires with a negative growth of 13%, tube with a negative growth of 11%, motorcycle tires, bicycle tires increased by 11.13%, just now I can say which industry you are in, slightly better is the product industry, rubber shoes industry, rubber The industrial output value of the mold industry has slightly increased compared with last year. This is the situation of industrial output value. The profit of all walks of life, our statistics this year, the profit rate of 398 industries fell by 22% last year, of which tires fell by 35%, carbon black fell. 53.75%, the profit is slightly better than last year is the industry, latex industry and waste rubber comprehensive utilization of the industry, if this year feels a little better, then the possibility of producing rubber products has greatly increased.
 
This chart is not a year-on-year situation. It is a situation of the profit rate of the entire sub-industry. Everyone said that it is quite good. There is a 5.13% profit in the whole industry, but this is the profit from January to July. The data from January to August is more than this. The decline, in addition to the industry, and the profit margin of the product industry and rubber mold industry is slightly higher, but the profit rate of tires has dropped to 3 percent, carbon black has been less than 1%, now Everyone needs 7% in bank loans, so the whole industry is really very difficult this year. Let's talk about the tire industry, because the tire industry feels particularly difficult this year, why? Among the 398 companies we surveyed, the inventory is 28.5 billion, of which the inventory of tires is 18 billion, accounting for 66% of the entire industry's inventory, so the good and bad of the tire industry is directly related to the situation of the Chinese rubber industry. We can see that its profit has fallen by 36% compared with last year. I will not elaborate on the industry in the management industry. The situation in these industries is good and bad. You can see some profits, such as the profit growth of latex last year. 25%, but this year has dropped by 6%. Last year's good year is worse. Last year's bad year is even worse. Everyone is analyzing the reasons. All economists are also analyzing and will soon meet in Beijing. It is also analyzing the reasons. Experts say that China’s GDP growth rate is falling sharply. The reason why our economy is not good is mainly from GDP. Second, because our rubber industry and the automobile industry are closely related, then the automobile industry is increasing. The speed is also slowing down. It is not enough in January-August. It is better in January-September. It is estimated that January-October will be better. I am happy. This shows that our rubber industry may also usher in January-October. A turnaround.
 
There is also a frustration in exports, from 30% to 192% of the tax, 40% of our tires to export so much tax, how to do not sell to the United States? We are squeezing in the EU market. There is no double reverse, but the price cannot be sold. Because a large number of tires have hit Europe, everyone will fight the price war. What is the result? No one can make any money, this is also an important reason for the very thin profit of the industry tires this year.
 
For so many years, why are there overcapacity? The decline in profits is due to the fact that our chart shows a rapid doubling of our production from 2.85 to 2.65 in 2006-2014, so this year's competition is fierce and interests are falling. In addition, because the concentration of production capacity is too low, bargaining power, research and development, and raw material procurement may be done by each company in research and development and repetitive work, which also delays the advancement of scientific research and technology.
 
Everyone hopes that the 13th Five-Year Plan will lead the Chinese rubber industry to where? Everyone said that planning and planning, what is the use of paper painting? Many people have lost confidence in planning. I have checked it online. Many people think that some people who are more radical in planning think that planning in a purely market economy is better than planning, planning production is difficult to plan, but regulating the industry. The development of this association is very likely. The planning of our association has made some changes in the 12th Five-Year Plan and put forward some new ideas. For example, planning no longer emphasizes the growth of quantity. We emphasize the general idea of ​​reform. That is, we have to implement our Chinese rubber industry to a strong country through the 13th Five-Year Plan, and plan it according to the goal of our strong country strategy. This is the overall idea.
 
What changes have we brought to the industry in the 13th Five-Year Plan? These eight sentences I think are very good, so I am going to read them here. The first change we made through the 13th Five-Year Plan is to hope that our rubber industry in China will change from big to strong, and the second will be changed from perceptual development. For the development of reason. The third is that the output is the dominant adjustment and the quality is the dominant. The fourth is that we are now focusing on product research and turning it into basic research. The fifth is to change from being a government to an industry association. Many people in foreign countries admire Japanese companies. If Japanese companies are united in the price of the market, they will coordinate. Now we are still doing this at this point. Focusing on their own price wars, I hope that during the 13th Five-Year Plan, the association can do some work to unite the industry. The sixth is from blind expansion to intensive synthesis development, from vicious competition to joint synergy, and the last one is to turn from high labor-intensive to green development.
 
How can we achieve these changes? Our Fan President has proposed several major strategic measures. There are ten automated production lines for improving the rubber industry. The e-commerce model is used to complete the intelligent manufacturing of the rubber industry. In addition, we must protect new raw materials and improve the innovation mechanism of the rubber industry. Make full use of financial capital to help the intelligent transformation of the rubber industry, and the other is to establish the results of Internet + in other industry sectors and accelerate the progress of intelligent manufacturing in the rubber industry. These are our ideas, results and safeguard measures, then we must implement specific The place, we have listed the goals of the 12th Five-Year Period and the 13th Five-Year Plan for various industries and professions. I will not say one by one. This is a sub-industry. Each industry has specific indicators. To what extent? We can all make a clear statement in the 13th Five-Year Plan.
 
Finally, taking tires as an example, for example, we passed the 13th Five-Year Plan, we hope that the tire concentration, such as the top ten sales accounted for 44% can now be increased to 51%, which is to give them a goal for them to work hard, tires The process we have already said, the planning is not as good as the norm. The most important norm for the tires we made during the 13th Five-Year Plan is the tire labeling system. We hope to recommend China's green tires in China according to this time period, and we will stick our tires. Put on our label and then promote the industrial upgrading of the tires.
 
It’s just 15 minutes, and the 13th Five-Year Plan is a bit quick, but 10.26-29 is on the Xi’an Standing Committee. We will officially launch the 13th Five-Year Plan. The Standing Council will get it for free. There are specific circumstances. Today The details are not detailed. Let's communicate again during the coffee break. Thank you for listening, thank you!
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